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Mar 29, 2005 (CIDRAP News) – Initial testing indicates that all five members of a family of chicken farmers near Haiphong, Vietnam, have avian influenza, the World Health Organization (WHO) and news services said today.”These cases, which include the parents and their three young daughters, are undergoing further investigation following initial tests indicating infection with the H5 subtype of avian influenza,” the WHO said in a statement. “Reports indicate outbreaks of avian influenza in poultry in the vicinity.”An Agence France-Press (AFP) report said the family members were in stable condition in Haiphong’s Viet Tiep Hospital. An unnamed physician at the hospital was quoted as saying, “Initial tests showed they are positive for H5N1. We are treating them according to plans but we need final confirmation from Hanoi.”If the cases are confirmed, they apparently will represent the largest family cluster since human cases of H5N1 avian flu began occurring in Asia in early 2004.A woman who lives near the family is also being treated for suspected avian flu, another doctor from the Haiphong hospital told AFP. The Chinese news agency Xinhua further reported that a child from the same commune as the other six people is hospitalized.A field investigation of the family cases is under way, WHO reported. “Thorough investigation of all such clusters is essential to determine possible changes in the behavior of the virus and thus support assessment of the risk of an influenza pandemic,” the agency said.The statement also said, “There is currently no evidence that the H5N1 virus is spreading easily from person to person.”The WHO also reported today that the Vietnamese Ministry of Health has formally confirmed several avian flu cases that were previously reported by the news media. The agency listed the people involved as a 5-year-old boy from the central province of Quang Binh, a 17-year-old girl from the northern province of Nam Dinh (who died Mar 23), and a 40-year-old woman from the northern province of Quang Ninh. An earlier case also has been confirmed, the WHO said, but the agency did not describe that person.The WHO also provided a limited update on the investigation of media-reported cases of flu-like illness in Quang Binh province. The agency is awaiting test results but said the number of illnesses appears much smaller than the 195 cases first reported by local media.If the Haiphong family is included, the unofficial count of avian flu cases has risen to 79, including 49 deaths, since late 2003. That includes 60 cases with 35 deaths in Vietnam, 17 cases with 12 deaths in Thailand, and 2 fatal cases in Cambodia.Meanwhile, poultry and politics were taking center stage elsewhere in Southeast Asia, as officials sought to contain outbreaks in Cambodia and North Korea.Using bullhorns and battery-powered tape players mounted on motorbikes, health workers in Cambodia are going from house to house in Cambodia’s Kampot province, said Sok Touch, director of the Health Ministry’s communicable disease control department, in an interview for an Associated Press (AP) story today.”They are telling people not to touch sick or dead birds and that if they have any suspected bird flu symptoms, such as fever and cough, they should go to the nearest healthcare center,” he said. Both Cambodians who died of avian flu lived in Kampot province.An investigation continues in Kampot into the Mar 22 death of Meas Ran, 28, WHO announced today. The agency said Cambodian officials formally confirmed his previously reported case today. Authorities have learned he had contact with sick poultry, but apparently he did not pass the disease to others. Thirty-three of his family members, neighbors, and healthcare providers have tested negative for avian flu, WHO said.Elsewhere, the WHO had been in talks with North Korea about preventing human cases of avian flu even before the recent announcement that the country slaughtered hundreds of thousands of poultry sick with avian flu, according to AFP. North Korea’s state media have said no human cases have occurred there.”The WHO had offered its help to the country to prepare for human cases of avian flu,” WHO spokeswoman Fadela Chaib told reporters, but didn’t say whether the offer had been accepted.Another WHO official in Asia said the agency sought to obtain a sample of the virus in North Korea for testing, AFP reported today.Although avian flu is killing poultry in five Asian countries, only two of them have maintained timely reporting of the cases to the World Organization for Animal Health (OIE), as shown on OIE Web site. Thailand reported the deaths or culling of 50 chickens in Sukhothai province from Mar 9 to 17, and Indonesia reported an outbreak among chickens for the week ending Mar 11.North Korea hasn’t notified OIE but is working with the United Nation’s Food and Agriculture Organization, AFP reported today. Other countries appear to be lagging in OIE notification: Vietnam made its most recent report on Feb 28, and Cambodia made its most recent report on Sep 22, 2004.See also:Mar 29 WHO news releasehttp://www.who.int/csr/don/2005_03_29b/en/
Aug 26, 2005 (CIDRAP News) – Reports today said three rare palm civets that recently died in captivity in Vietnam were infected with an H5N1 avian influenza virus, adding another species to the list of those susceptible to the pathogen.The three Owston’s palm civets died in June, and tests of samples in a Hong Kong laboratory detected the H5N1 virus, according to Reuters and Agence France-Presse (AFP) reports. The animals died in the same cage in Cuc Phuong National Park, about 55 miles south of Hanoi.Staff members at the park said no other animals or people had fallen ill.In addition to birds and humans, H5N1 viruses have been known to infect pigs, housecats, tigers, and leopards. The virus has killed millions of poultry and at least 57 people in outbreaks in Asia since late 2003.Civets figured in another relatively new infectious disease: SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome). Chinese scientists concluded that masked palm civets—a different species from Owston’s—were the main animal source of the SARS virus, which infected about 8,000 people around the world in 2003. Civets are used for food in southern China.The civets that died of avian flu were a female and two offspring, all of which had been born in captivity, reports said. It was not clear how they became infected.Reuters quoted Do Van Lap, a manager at the park, as saying, “How they were infected remains unknown as they were raised together with 20 other civets, their cages close to each other, but the remaining civets are strong.”Lap said initial suspicion fell on park staff members who lived in a village where some chickens had died, but tests did not find the virus. He said the civets were not fed chicken.The story said Cuc Phuong National Park has a wildlife protection project that involves raising peacocks, pheasants, freshwater turtles, and deer in captivity, as well as civets. “All the remaining animals are safe, so we reckon the three civets are isolated cases,” Lap told Reuters.In an Associated Press (AP) report, Scott Robertson, technical adviser for the civet conservation program at the park, commented, “It’s another good example of how dangerous this thing [the H5N1 virus] is.” He said the WHO and Vietnamese health officials were expected to test park employees.Peter Horby, a WHO epidemiologist in Hanoi, said the finding does not signal an increased risk of avian flu in humans, since people have less contact with civets than with poultry, according to the AP. Poultry have been the source of nearly all human cases so far.Owston’s palm civet is an endangered species that is confined to parts of northern Vietnam, northern Laos, and neighboring areas of China, according to a report from Vietnam’s National Center for Scientific Research.Also in Vietnam, a pilot program to vaccinate poultry against avian flu in two provinces is running behind schedule, according to a report today from the Vietnam News Agency. About 72% of targeted birds in the northern province of Nam Dinh have been vaccinated, but only 38% have been vaccinated in Tien Giang province in the south, where flooding has caused problems, the story said.In other developments, officials in Finland reported a possible avian flu outbreak in seagulls, but it was probably not a highly pathogenic strain, according to a Reuters report today.A flu virus was found in sick and dead seagulls in the northern town of Oulou, the report said, but the strain was not identified. Finland shares a border with Russia, where H5N1 avian flu has surfaced in poultry in recent weeks, but not in areas near Finland.See also:CIDRAP Overview: Avian influenza: agricultural and wildlife considerations
May 15 CIDRAP News story “Indonesia: H5N1 samples going to WHO again” The Reuters story said the draft resolution is the product of “arduous” negotiations among the WHO member countries. A draft resolution passed by a WHO committee today says the agency will develop rules to ensure timely sharing of viruses with the WHO and “fair and equitable distribution of pandemic influenza vaccines at affordable prices in the event of a pandemic,” the Associated Press (AP) reported. A proposal from developing countries led by Indonesia had called for the WHO to supply H5N1 virus samples to vaccine makers only with the consent of the donor country. But the resolution adopted by the WHO committee says that during “public health emergencies of international concern,” manufacturers should have “full access” to viruses from the WHO, the AP reported. The agreement doesn’t precisely define a public health emergency, but WHO officials said a flu pandemic would qualify, according to the story. While the new rules are being developed, countries are expected to continue sharing virus samples with the WHO, Reuters reported. Researchers use the samples to develop vaccines and to monitor the viruses’ spread, its ability to infect humans, and its resistance to drugs. May 14 CIDRAP News story “Virus sharing high on agenda as WHO meeting begins” The negotiations were chaired by Viroj Tangcharoensathien of Thailand. He commented, “Trust has now gradually been regained in the work of the WHO’s Global Influenza Surveillance Network, which is the backbone of influenza containment.” The draft agreement is a response to Indonesia’s complaint that drug companies can use H5N1 avian flu viruses provided by Indonesia to make vaccines the country can’t afford. In protest, Indonesia stopped sending virus samples to the WHO last December. Last week the Indonesian government said it had resumed sending specimens. But WHO officials said only three have been sent so far, according to Reuters, despite a string of more than 15 human H5N1 cases in Indonesia since the start of this year. But the resolution, which is expected to be approved by the World Health Assembly of 193 WHO members tomorrow, does not define “timely sharing” of samples or fair distribution of vaccines, the AP said. The WHO has coordinated the international sharing of flu virus samples by national and WHO collaborating laboratories for more than 50 years. Samples of both seasonal flu viruses and novel strains like H5N1 are analyzed. May 22, 2007 (CIDRAP News) The World Health Organization (WHO) has negotiated a preliminary agreement designed to maintain the international sharing of influenza virus samples while ensuring that developing countries can obtain pandemic flu vaccines, news services reported today. See also: Reuters reported that the resolution calls for setting up a working group to revise the “terms of reference” for WHO-affiliated laboratories that analyze viruses and to write rules for sharing them with other parties, including researchers and vaccine makers. The resolution sets a year-long timeline for completing those steps, with a goal of getting the plan approved at next year’s World Health Assembly.
Dec 9, 2008 (CIDRAP News) – Health officials in Hong Kong today said they have detected an H5 avian influenza outbreak at a poultry farm in Yuen Long, marking the country’s first farm-based outbreak since 2003.York Chow, Hong Kong’s secretary for food and health, said in a press release today that the H5 avian flu virus struck 60 chickens, which died yesterday. He did not say if the virus at the farm was the highly pathogenic H5N1 subtype.Malik Peiris, a virologist at the University of Hong Kong, said it is “highly likely” that the virus is the lethal H5N1 strain, because other strains aren’t as deadly as the one involved in the outbreak appears to be, according to a report from Reuters today. “But this has to be confirmed,” he said.Chow said in the press release that he elevated Hong Kong’s avian flu alert to serious after receiving the H5 test results. He said the agriculture department will cull 80,000 chickens within a 3-km radius of the index farm and will destroy another 10,000 chickens from the area that have been transported to a wholesale market.Hong Kong’s government has also banned the export of chickens from all of the special administrative region’s farms and has halted all poultry imports, both effective for the next 21 days.He said Hong Kong’s Center for Health Protection would monitor the status of the farm’s owners and workers, none of whom have developed symptoms. Chow also said in the statement that veterinary officials have closed an aviary park near the farm and are monitoring the health of 1,500 birds that are kept in other parks in Hong Kong.The length of time since Hong Kong’s last farm outbreak is a sign that the prevention measures have worked well, he said in the statement. However, he said he was concerned about the latest outbreak, because the first chickens to die were those that had not been vaccinated.According to a Feb 5 report from the World Organization for Animal Health (OIE), the H5N1 virus is common and present year-round in Hong Kong, occurring in resident and migratory birds. The report said poultry farms are constantly monitored with serologic and virologic testing. All farm chickens routinely receive an inactivated H5N2 vaccine, and each flock contains 60 unvaccinated sentinels that are monitored over the lifespan of the group.In July, Yuen Kwok-yung, who heads the University of Hong Kong’s microbiology department, warned that the poultry vaccine has lost its effectiveness over the past 7 years of use, according to previous reports. He said that the virus in Hong Kong had shifted away from the Fujian strain that the vaccine was developed for and advised officials to ban live poultry from Hong Kong markets before the vaccine becomes completely ineffective.One month earlier, animal health officials had detected the H5N1 virus in poultry feces at several market stalls, but did not determine the source of the virus.Over the past few years, Hong Kong has filed several reports of individual sick or dead wild birds that tested positive for the H5N1 virus. The recent OIE report described two egrets—one found dead and one found sick in a Hong Kong park—that tested positive for the H5N1 virus in November and December 2007.See also:Feb 5 OIE reportJul 10 CIDRAP News story “Expert warns Hong Kong’s avian flu vaccine is waning”
The year in which it celebrates the 70th anniversary of its artistic activity, the Ensemble of Folk Dances and Songs of Croatia LADO is preparing the program “Let the sun shine on everyone where there is still our family”, fully dedicated to songs and dances of Croats abroad. An opportunity to show our guests our cultural and historical heritage. Inform your guests about LADO or better yet, as a host in family accommodation take them to a celebratory concert and be proud of our tradition, history and heritage. Zadar – wake up, it is quality and authentic content that tourists want to see and experience. It is a story we must tell our tourism. Photo: LADO The celebratory concert will be held in Zadar on April 26, 2019 at the Arsenal Zadar. Find out more about the concert HERE “During their turbulent past, especially in the period between the 15th and 17th centuries, Croats from the territory of today’s Republic of Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina due to military activities sought refuge outside their homeland, inhabiting areas where they have remained to this day. Through all these centuries, separated from the motherland, they have preserved their identity and their traditional culture. Therefore, the Ensemble of Croatian Folk Dances and Songs LADO dedicates its seventieth birthday to them.”, Says the artistic director of the LADO Ensemble Andrija Ivančan and points out that the very name of the program calls on all peoples in the countries inhabited by Croats to love, peace, tolerance, respect and building bridges between peoples and their cultures. Lado are the guardians of our tradition, heritage and customs, and by their actions they take care that they do not disappear into oblivion. For more than seven decades, Lado has been performing on stages all over the world, and with over 5.000 performances in Croatia and 48 countries around the world, he tells the story of our customs and identity, the story of Croats. Lado certainly deserves the title of ambassador of Croatian tourism. LADO has a holdings with more than 1.200 sets of folk costumes of exceptional value and beauty, some of which are over 100 years old, so we can freely call it a traveling museum that is extremely valuable and important for preserving and nurturing our identity, culture and customs. I keep emphasizing how we should be and sell what we are – Croats. That is the very essence of tourism. Tourists want to hear, see and taste our history, our culture, our way of life.
Mobility and hospitality were two key concepts at the roots of many mythologies and today are the essence of tourism. Hospitality once meant the cessation of conflict or the root of hostility, and therefore myths are important for the way society will understand its existence in this world. We learn from myths that not hosting a stranger was a sin and that meant incurring the wrath of the gods. Hospitality in the true sense of the word allows the guest a certain degree of closeness to the host, the natural and cultural environment. The essence of tourism is that the visitor seeks social contacts that are honest and even intimate in an environment that is unusual and attractive. Tourists should be allowed to be more than an observer and to become real actors in their journey by establishing social contact with the local population. The exchange, because the tourist is also a transmitter of his spirit and culture, enables better mutual understanding. Communication is a basic prerequisite for tourism development It is important not to lose sight of the fact that human behavior and customs, as well as tourism and the need for rest, are typified in the myths of all civilizations. On this evolutionary path, sustainable tourism has the power of transformation, ie liberation, so that its main goal is to change tourists / travelers but also service providers, ie the local community from passive beings within the phenomenon of tourism – into subjects, into exchanges of tourist events. achieved true communication with tourists. When a member of one culture creates a symbol, message or information for another member of another, different cultures and their interaction and communication is actually intercultural communication. In contact with the “other” value systems are often destroyed, changed or supplemented, the individual’s horizons are broadened, stereotypes are erased and finally – persons or individuals change through intercultural communication, and this is the most important thing in intercultural communication, ie cognition. modifying and changing. In cultural contact in a tourist destination, it is important to distinguish between the local population and their culture; tourists and tourist culture (common to most tourists); residual culture (unique to each tourism market), tourism workers (who provide services to tourists and act as intermediaries between the host and guest population) and their managerial and business culture, etc. Photo: Pexels.com / Illustration: HrTurizam.hr As the world becomes more connected, globalized and liberal, and culturally and anthropologically more developed – it survives only in diversity and pluralism, not in sameness and monism, so in this sense intercultural communication – in tourism and beyond – becomes necessary and necessary. for many individuals, or for an increasing number of people. The development of tourism began in the 19th century and with its leisure philosophy it followed the technological development so that it became a market for several types of entertainment. In the name of happiness, the society of hyperconsumption is expanding, so tourism is becoming more massive, however, although it is produced and consumed, we are increasingly entering a crisis of materialistic culture of happiness where the gap between rich and poor deepens, closeness is lost and new technologies bringing people together becomes a means of alienation. Therefore, a situation occurs in which, by communicating interculturally, individuals respect each other and, by looking at each other, see themselves as they really are. This component of tourism is actually a sociological and anthropological category of self-knowledge. In tourism, communication can take place on several levels and in several dimensions. Through tourism and local culture, we send a message to the world with words, images and figures that stem from our history and point to the appeal of the space for all those creatives and curious people who strive for an authentic experience of original values. The emphasis is on originality and identity because they are written in our cellular memory and collective memory. Sending and receiving messages is reflected in the identity, attitudes and opinions of an individual who is original and unique. Today, travelers are motivated by the desire to get to know a culture different from their own in a place that cannot be replaced by any other tourist destination – Dr. sc. Romana Lekić Intercultural communication as a form of communication that takes place in tourism, it represents communication between different cultures, more precisely between people who come from different countries and cities or cultures and make mutual contacts and interaction in a certain area. Such communication involves the interaction of people whose cultural perceptions and symbolic systems are different enough to change the act of communication. . At the very beginning, communication is needed to present the offer to a potential tourist and during the stay of tourists in the destination. Thus, communication has an important role in the development of tourism because it serves not only to communicate and transmit information but also to get to know the culture and create interpersonal relationships. Tourism mixes people and cultures, forms and forces unique to each individual local community, ie tourists, and a better understanding of these cultures will lead us to understand tourism as a factor of change in the community and beyond – tourism in this way gets transformative and healing power – dr. sc. Romana Lekić Author: dr. Sc. Romana Lekić, Assistant Dean for Tourism Studies at Edward Bernays College of Communication Management in Zagreb In 2010, the European Commission recognized tourism as a means of strengthening the cohesion of European citizens by encouraging contacts and exchanges between countries and people, regardless of differences in language, culture or tradition. The European Tourism Forum in 2013. suggests tourism as “A POWER FOR ECONOMIC GROWTH, SOCIAL CHANGE AND WELL-BEING”. The criteria of the World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) point out that for the practice of sustainable tourism it is important to meet the criteria of respect for local culture and tradition so that foreign visitors need to learn local behavior, language and culture, but also the local population learns about different expectations. Furthermore, as the UNWTO points out, we should strive for quality, not quantity, and that the success of tourism can be measured by the length of stay, consumption and quality of the tourist experience, and not just the number of visitors and the number of nights. Also, UNWTO emphasizes satisfaction, because a satisfied visitor when he returns home, will recommend an unforgettable destination to his relatives and friends, which allows further business of these destinations, therefore increasingly emphasizing the quality of tourist experience and experience based on authenticity and tradition.
As we announced, Nedo Pinezić and David Peranić announced a survey for renters of family accommodation, in order to better analyze the situation on the ground between renters, and concrete steps on how and where to move forward in the future. The survey was conceived through five questions. To the first question: Do you work seasonally or all year round ?, the majority (74.2%) answered that they are seasonal renters, while 25.2% of respondents declared themselves as year-round renters. Although these data do not say much, because somewhere the season is longer or shorter, and there is no exact geographical division, nor by the quality of accommodation, which also depends on the length of the season. However, for the purposes of the survey and the interpretation of the results of the surveyed renters, we know that these are mostly seasonal renters. How much of a drop have you had this season in the number of nights? – is a question that provides more specific information. Photo: Maxim Goncharenok, Pexels.com Survey results: 90% of renters performed worse than last year The survey is over, and we bring the results of the same. The survey was completed by 1.669 renters, which is a large sample, in line with the previous inertia of renters for any initiatives or surveys. Source: Dantes At the end of the survey, 70% of renters concluded that they are still satisfied with this tourist season, according to May 15 forecasts. On the other hand, 8.7% of the surveyed renters achieved the same results as last year (within 10%), and a small part, or 2.2% of the respondents, achieved a growth of 10% and more compared to last year. For the end, Pinezić and Peranić are inviting tonight (Wednesday) from 20.30 pm to Dantes FB Live where they will comment live on the results. Thus, 36% of respondents worked significantly worse than last year or had a drop of 50%. The second part, more precisely 30% of them, performed worse than last year in the context of a decline of 20 to 25%. 22.9% of them achieved more than 60% worse results than last year. 28.2% Same price as last year22.9% Prices less by 20% than last year19.9% Prices less by 10% than last year13.6% Prices less by 30% than last year7.4% Prices less by 40% than last year6.2% Prices less by 50% and more than last year1.9% Prices more than last year – We have an extremely large sample, which allows us to obtain objective results, Pinezić and Peranić point out and add: – Some of the answers were very short, and there were indeed extensive answers. In the coming weeks, we will read and systematize all the answers (there are close to 7.000 entries), and we will publish separate articles for each question as the conclusion of the survey and our comment.”. When it comes to prices, we know that this year the accommodation was filled at much lower prices, both in hotel and private accommodation. And this is shown by the survey data, where about 70% of respondents reduced prices.
There’s plenty of evidence, in the article and elsewhere, that this kind of deregulation has plenty to do with investment and job growth.There is also plenty of evidence that econ reporters at major publications have spent the past decade propping up economists who tell them what they want to hear.That is to say, they prop up economists who obsess over “inequality” rather than economic growth, who worry about the future of labor unions or climate change or whatever policy liberals happen to be plying at the moment.There are plenty of economists out there making good arguments for the free market who will never be member of the “economists say” clique.For eight years, we consistently heard about how “economists say” everything Democrats were doing was great (even when hundreds disagreed).Unsurprisingly, “economists” were wrong about a lot.The rosy predictions set by President Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers regarding the “stimulus,” the administration’s prediction of 4.6 percent growth by 2012 and the Congressional Budget Office predictions about Obamacare were all way off base. But not to worry!Over the next few thousand words, the authors do their best to assure readers that neither deregulation nor tax cuts are really behind this new economic activity — even if business leaders keep telling them otherwise.For example, they claim that “There is little historical evidence tying regulation levels to growth.”A few paragraphs later, we again learn that “The evidence is weak that regulation actually reduces economic activity or that deregulation stimulates it.”A reporter without an agenda might have written that evidence was “arguable,” because I bet I could corral a bunch of economists to tell you that lowering the cost of doing business spurs economic activity quite often.And though the Trump administration somewhat overstates its regulatory cutbacks, it has stopped hundreds of Obama-era regulations from being enacted.Even better, it has stopped thousands of yet-to-be-invented regulations from ever being considered. Perhaps these corporations only did it all to gain favor with the administration.Hey, some people suck up to government by cutting bonus checks for their workers, and some people make electric cars no one wants.The fact is that deregulation and tax cuts matter.We already have evidence.We just don’t give voice to the economists who would tell us so.David Harsanyi is a senior editor at The Federalist and a nationally syndicated columnist.More from The Daily Gazette:EDITORIAL: Urgent: Today is the last day to complete the censusEDITORIAL: Find a way to get family members into nursing homesEDITORIAL: Beware of voter intimidationFoss: Should main downtown branch of the Schenectady County Public Library reopen?EDITORIAL: Thruway tax unfair to working motorists (Indeed, 36 percent of those polled gave the wholly rational answer of “uncertain.”)“We’ll be lucky to have 2 percent” growth, “economists say” regular Mark Zandi told CNN in May.Certainly, the economy doesn’t have the room to grow that it had in 2007 or 2012.But so far, Zandi is wrong about that.Neither deregulation nor tax cuts are a panacea.But businesses have already acted on deregulation and corporate tax cuts.Dozens of companies announced they would hand out bonus checks to hundreds of thousands of workers before the corporate tax cut was even signed into law. Categories: Editorial, Opinion“A wave of optimism has swept over American business leaders, and it is beginning to translate into the sort of investment in new plants, equipment and factory upgrades that bolsters economic growth, spurs job creation — and may finally raise wages significantly,” opens a recent New York Times article surveying the state of the American economy.One imagines that readers of the esteemed paper were surprised to run across such a rosy assessment after having been bombarded with news of a homicidal Republican tax plan for so many weeks. Vox, a leading light in the liberalism-masquerading-as-science genre, ran an article headlined “The Controversial Study Showing High Minimum Wages Kill Jobs, Explained.”You might wonder why incessantly quoted studies from liberal “nonpartisan” groups that falsely predicted minimum wages wouldn’t hurt cities aren’t “controversial.”Because if you want to raise the minimum wage, you will raise the price of labor and often reduce the amount of labor that’s going to be hired.That’s the trade-off.For decades, most economists agreed.While most economists I’ve known are relatively humble about forecasting, the ones who aren’t get most of the press.“Out of 42 Top Economists, Only 1 Believes the GOP Tax Bills Would Help the Economy,” a November Vox headline read. There are thousands of unknowns that can’t be quantified or computed, including human nature.But after decades of using data to help us think about goods, services, jobs, consumption and our choices, “economists say” is now used to coat liberal policy positions with a veneer of scientific certitude.And since Democrats began successfully aligning economics with social engineering, we’ve stopped seriously talking about the tradeoffs of regulations.A good example of this trend is the push for a $15 minimum wage — an emotionally satisfying, popular and destructive policy idea.Most cities that have passed the hike have experienced job losses.When researchers at the University of Washington studied Seattle’s $15 minimum-wage hike, one of the largest in the nation, they found that thousands of fewer jobs were created and thousands of people lost hours of work, making them poorer.No doubt a lot of people were surprised.